Seybold Scientific

An Analytical Approach to Marketing Online.

How Much Can You Afford?

If you’re like many first-time homebuyers, chances are you’ve been spending your weekends driving around visiting open houses and new model homes. This is a great way to get a feel for what you want. The problem is that what you want isn’t always what you should get.

Before you start touring homes for sale, it’s important to start off with a budget so you know how much you can afford to spend. Knowing what mortgage payment you can handle will also help you narrow the field so you don’t waste precious time touring homes that are out of your reach.

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Published: August 27, 2008
By: Ajay Shah

This article is filed under:
Business | Real Estate | Tips & Tricks

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117 troubled banks, highest level since 2003

WASHINGTON (AP) — The number of troubled U.S. banks leaped to the highest level in about five years and bank profits plunged by 86 percent in the second quarter, as slumps in the housing and credit markets continued. Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. data released Tuesday show 117 banks and thrifts were considered to be in trouble in the second quarter, up from 90 in the prior quarter and the biggest tally since mid-2003.

The FDIC also said that federally-insured banks and savings institutions earned $5 billion in the April-June period, down from $36.8 billion a year earlier. The roughly 8,500 banks and thrifts also set aside a record $50.2 billion to cover losses from soured mortgages and other loans in the second quarter.


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Published: August 26, 2008
By: Ajay Shah

This article is filed under:
Business | Business Start up | Conversational Media

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Wall Street pulls back as financials fall

NEW YORK - Wall Street retreated Monday after Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fell to their lowest levels in nearly 20 years on concerns that the government might need to bail out the mortgage financiers. Weakness in the overall financial sector sent the Dow Jones industrial average down more than 175 points.

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Published: August 18, 2008
By: Ajay Shah

This article is filed under:
Business

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Where did this financial turbulence come from?

How the subprime debacle got started and where it might end up. The most recent iteration of America’s economic system has its roots in a small meeting in Bretton Woods, NH, in 1944. The hope – and assumption – that developed during that meeting was that out of the victory of World War II, a single global trade and economic supremacy (potentially a nation state) would emerge, ending fascism and all other “isms”. In this meeting, there was an assent to certain financial dynamics, particularly an assent to the gold standard.

Fast forward to August, 1971. Facing many new economic hardships, the emergence of credible international technical and industrial competition, and unprecedented capital calls on the U.S. Treasury, the United Stated decided to supplant its previously established economic ground rules. Today, we have forgotten what happened in 1971.

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Published: August 18, 2008
By: Ajay Shah

This article is filed under:
Business | Conversational Media

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Building a New City of Tech(Boise)

orgchart275 We have an opportunity. An opportunity for people like us, an opportunity to define the future of our home – Boise.

Did you know that we have the oldest legislative body in the entire nation? Our state representatives, many senior business leaders and officials leading the education infrastructure are not tech savvy. Worse, they glaze over and talk in circles whenever tech is mentioned (most of them anyway).

Meanwhile the evidence is clear that Idaho is becoming home for many of the lowest paying jobs in the nation. These are comprised of service industry (McDonalds, Taco Time, etc.) and call centers (T-Mobile, CitiCard, etc.) where the bulk of the positions range from $5.25 to $12 an hour. The reality of life is that it takes much more than that to live in our community.

Tech jobs are skilled and pay better.

The median tech professional in Boise makes ~$25 / hr. That means half of wage-earners are below and half are above, but the reality is that this lumps in tech workers in semi-skilled manufacturing positions. The higher end of the spectrum are people like you who code applications or architect solutions. These are great jobs and not only promote quality of life monetarily, but also create a quality of life that is consistent with the culture and lifestyle of Boise.

Tech jobs (software development, etc.) are green jobs. Tech jobs are are not dependant on distribution lines (and the costs associated therein). Our geographic isolation does not hinder the delivery of the product / service. Boise is a perfect location for this type of work. We have a strong engineering base, strong tech corporations, and a state university in our city core. What we lack is:

  • entrepreneurial spirit,
  • legislators who will get out there and press the flesh with those from other states to discuss the resources we possess.
  • Tax considerations for small and mid-size businesses.
  • No charge or low charge resources to educate people on starting and running a business focusing on areas that are not core to their competencies.
  • mentors (yes I am talking to you.)

We have an opportunity to become great - good to great is not a far leap!

Great communities like Boise are rare. TechBoise seeks to surface the tech community, build upon it and create awareness of our technical powerhouse for the entire world to see. It begins with a discussion at a TechBoise FREE event which is the catalyst for great innovation, imagination and opportunities yet to be realized.

Now ask yourself, shouldn’t you come to the next event?

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Published: March 19, 2008
By: George Seybold

This article is filed under:
Business | Business Start up | Event | Social | Social Networking

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A Twist on the Traditional Magazine Model

8020’s publications are filled entirely with content generated by online readers. But will people pay for it?

Weary of his job as an urban planner for the city of Portland, Ore., Sloan Schang dreamed of making a living as a writer. How, exactly, he wasn’t sure. But he quit his job, sold his house and, with the proceeds, some savings and his girlfriend, set off on a trip that took him to Asia, Europe and across much of the United States. Today, not two years later, Schang, 32, is a published travel writer with a busy schedule of decently paid freelance gigs. “It’s worked out well. I don’t really plan to go back to urban planning,” he says.

A decade ago Schang’s transition almost certainly would have been more difficult. But there are more opportunities than ever for aspiring writers to get published. Schang credits his breaking into the travel writing business to 8020 Publishing, a San Francisco-based magazine publisher with a unique twist on the conventional model: its paper pages are filled entirely with content submitted by readers through its Web site.

The Internet, of course, has given citizen-journalists, amateur artists and Wikipedia warriors a virtually limitless platform for exposure. It has also roiled the traditional magazine business, which in recent years has seen circulation and ad revenue drop as more readers shift their preference for media consumption from paper to pixels. But 8020 may have found a way to take advantage of the move to online. Funded by CNET.com founder Halsey Minor, the company, which was started in June 2006, is pinning its future on actual newsstand sales of content that originates online. “Magazines are great at inspiration, whereas the Web is really good at data. But people tend to think only in terms of the Web versus print magazines,” says Paul Cloutier, chief executive of 8020. “We say they can come together to become an even better magazine.”

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Published: March 13, 2008
By: George Seybold

This article is filed under:
Business | Business Start up | Convergence | Conversational Media | Word-of-mouth

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Facebook Triage - Declining CPM

Social networks have flooded the market with inventory, pushing down ad rates based on CPM, according to one Microsoft executive.

Dean Carignan, Microsoft’s director of ad business strategy in the entertainment and device division, made that disclosure during a panel discussion today at the McGraw-Hill Media Summit in New York City.

After the panel discussion, “Advertising Next: Social Networks, User Generated Video….”, I approached Carignan and asked him to elaborate.

He said the pricing decline doesn’t apply to specific verticials, such as automotive, financial services, and news.

However, he acknowledged that social networks (Facebook included) have increased online inventory by about 15 percent this year.

It wasn’t lost on anyone in the crowd that Microsoft made a $240 million equity stake in social network Facebook late last year.

“In most environments, the ads showing up have no context. People talking to people [isn't] relevant to one product category,” he said.

He and other mentioned growing interest in “cul de sacs” on social networks focus on special interests such as consumer electronics or travel.

When asked about Facebook, he offered a quick: “No comment.”

Now that they’ve tapped out their inventory how do they stop their investment potential from bleeding out. Note though that I am not fool enough to think they are sucking air - yet. 

 

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Published: March 12, 2008
By: George Seybold

This article is filed under:
Advertising | Business | Conversational Media | Media Buying

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Please do it.

Starting is the hardest part. I have this idea in my head that I have been rolling around for a while. The idea has to do with a fairly simple business that requires very little capitol to begin and a straight-forward, easy to understand product. I’m no rocket scientist, so the type of product I might come up with has to be easy - but that is where the risk comes in. If I can do it so easily, why wouldn’t the major players in the market do it?

So I got this idea and I rolled it around with some people in the vertical and it has been received with sheer excitement. I even had one guy beg me to PLEASE DO IT. So I should, right? Well here is where I request your feedback.

People Resources

First, I have a finite number of hours in a day. I have a family, a day job and a life. Something would have to give. I am not independently wealthy so to hire someone to run the business is out of the question.

The Product

The “product” would only take a few thousand dollars to build and would not require a retail or commercial space to sell it out of. It would truly be sold word-of-mouth and would not require capital expenditure for marketing. It is unique, meaning that it does not exist today. As unique as a blender, the day it was introduced, but as replicable as a blender as well.

Commodity & Elite

There is a high risk that people in the business would replicate the idea very quickly. The only thing that would keep it from becoming a commodity are my connections, my relationships, or rather the relationships with those who have relationships. Let’s face it, I’m a marketing nerd and I live in Boise to boot.

This is a gated community idea. It would be hyper-personal and hyper-local. So word of mouth would definitely grow it. There is a low cost threshold to get into the game, but it offers significant power to the business that buys into it. It creates an elite environment that not everyone can gain access to. That’s what makes it special and unique.

The beginning.

So how does one begin really? I don’t care about being rich. I want to grow the business organically and without venture or angel investment. I am slightly distrusting of business counsel as I have been burnt in the past. Do I need a partner that can help shoulder the load of work that actually would need to get down? I don’t need their money, but walking together down a path is somehow motivating.These are my random thoughts. So ….

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Published: March 6, 2008
By: George Seybold

This article is filed under:
Business | Business Start up

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Economic Stimulus

Let’s face it, when it comes to economics I am not that savvy. I am however fairly adept to managing my household finances and in a former life, small business finances. So with that preface I’ll leave you to judge this post on it’s own merits, but filter it for BS.

I’m concerned. The Fed’s plan to stimulate the economy with a massive $150 Billion giveaway is counter intuitive. Certainly I will smile as the check lands on my doorstep and eventually in the bank account, but spend it, I won’t.

I am one of the fortunate ones. I have a great mortgage with a fixed interest rate. Two cars with payments that I plan to keep long term and will have no consumer debt in 30 days. I spend and I save, but have developed good habits. And those good habits are what keeps me from firing off a wad of cash given me by the Fed into a retail store on crap that I do not need.

So let’s talk tactics. If the Fed really wanted to help they would buy each of us $600 worth of stock. The rules might be 1) you have to keep it invested for two years. 2) we each get an investing 101 training course to make us smarter around the subject. Now it is ours to lose, or ours to grow, but it invests in businesses that create jobs and produce the products we need and want. It isn’t simply a flash in the pan. This isn’t a petty game we are dealing with here it is a very important plan.

Now another way that the Fed could do this wiser is to invest in work projects that provide education as a portion of the plan. The works programs of the early to mid-1900s offered economic stimuli while investing in the greatest resource our nation has to offer - its people. When people have good jobs they are well paid. This paycheck in turn purchases the goods and services produced by the good job. This is simple really, but takes a little more time to get going. I think personally the election year is simply allowing for the one-off successes that have no real long term gain. But that’s just this American’s opinion. What’s yours?

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Published: January 29, 2008
By: George Seybold

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Business

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Move Over Apple, Netflix Jumping Into Internet Movie Download Ring

There are few companies that can scare Apple. And while they might not admit it, Netflix is one player that matters. Netflix has announced a partnership with LG to make a set-top box for streaming movies to your TV, competing directly with Apple.

Downloading movies over the Internet is still considered to be the Holy Grail of technology by many media and industry experts. The market is young, it’s worth billions and nobody has quite figured out how to convince people to drop Blockbuster in exchange for downloading and watching movies on TV. But many are trying.

The newest in the video download market is the "world’s largest online movie rental service," Netflix. Teaming up with LG Electronics, the two are developing a set-top box so consumers can stream movies and other programs from the Internet to an HDTV. No computer needed.

Netflix is a movie rental company from which consumers in the U.S. can rent and return movies by mail, or download video to a computer.
"Internet to the TV is a huge opportunity," said Netflix Founder, Chairman and CEO Reed Hastings in a statement. "Netflix explored also offering its own Netflix-branded set-top boxes but we concluded that familiar consumer electronics devices from industry leaders like LG Electronics are a better consumer solution for getting the Internet to the TV."

Netflix is not the first company to get in this ring, as Apple currently sells Apple TV which connects its iTunes library directly to your TV. And this is where the industry will likely find its key to success.

The big problem with video downloading is it’s niche appeal — few people want to watch a full-length movie on a computer screen, and your average mom or pop has no desire to hook up a computer to a TV screen. The key to success is making the technology mainstream and easy enough to use that it’s just pushing a button. A video download box that connects right to your TV is nothing short of the revolution that will eventually change video rentals forever.

Netflix announced it will deliver a home entertainment service through technology embedded in an LG network player scheduled for release in the second half of 2008. With the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) just around the corner, Netflix’s pre-announcement is a brilliant way to steal the show and get the lion’s share of publicity, as journalists from all over the world will come to an LG-Netflix booth simply to see the unit that could make Apple CEO Steve Jobs shake in his boots.

Apple’s iTunes has had an edge over competition for a long time because of control; the company was smart and developed a market where it owned the technology to deliver content, and control of content itself, so that every movie and iPod fanatic would be hooked to iTunes as though it were an umbilical cord. There is not shortage of competition, but Apple has branded itself well in this arena. The only problem is: Netflix has as well. The company has control of content and an upcoming piece of hardware could be the sleeper in the woods.
"Consumers crave compelling and immediate content, and the Netflix online streaming movie feature can provide instant gratification," said KI Kwon, President of the Consumer Electronics Division of LG Electronics USA, Inc. in a statement. "This alliance underscores LG’s goal of developing smart technologies that deliver flexibility, convenience and control to consumers."

What is key now is the pricing scheme, how well it will be promoted and what kind of exposure the technology will get in retail stores.
As for pricing: Netflix says it will offer a "hybrid" service that gives Netflix subscribers — more than seven million of them — access to movies and TV series for a single, low monthly fee. Subscribers can watch movies streamed directly from the Netflix website on their HDTVs at home, as well as watch them on PC.

The company says it boasts a catalog of more than 90,000 DVD titles it currently delivers by mail, and a growing section of 6,000 movies and TV shows it can deliver over the Internet to PCs and now TVs.

The deal also brings the LG name into the consumer TV ring, which in the long-run could do wonders for the company’s sales. Partnering with Netflix, LG will get a chance to get in consumers’ faces and it could see a nice bump to its bottom line for sales of its other products. It also makes Netflix seem less niche, as co-developing with a company as large as LG will give consumers who have never heard of Netflix a bit more confidence in the brand.

In the future, if Netflix or competitors could build this technology right into a TV (no set-top box required), the download market could move forward at breakneck-speed.

The whole announcement carries with it quite a bit of potential, and in the end, giving consumer choice could lead to competition driving prices down even further.

Netflix certainly could steal the show at CES and emerge a big player in 2008, but I would like to end this by offering Netflix one bit of advice: Don’t let your legal team get involved in writing a press release. The release, which was issued to media worldwide, comes with a disclaimer that completely pulls the carpet out from underneath an otherwise exciting announcement. Someone in legal decided to add the following statement to the media release:

"This press release contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including statements regarding the development of a set-top box for delivery of content over the Internet to television sets, the delivery of a compelling online home entertainment service, Netflix’s strategy and positioning in online delivery of content, and the future of Internet to the television. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and events to differ, including, without limitation; the risk that the development of the set-top box or its associated online delivery service may not meet technical requirements, consumer expectations, or otherwise be implemented by the parties; that certain studios will not grant either of the parties necessary rights or otherwise impose limitations on such rights that might impede implementation or hamper consumer adoption, Netflix’s ability to create other partnership opportunities for the delivery of digital content to the television, and possible technological or content licensing impediments. Other risks and uncertainties that could impact Netflix performance are included in Netflix’s Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 28, 2007. Netflix undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this press release."

How is that for a buzz killer? Netflix is either afraid of over-promising, or worried it cannot deliver and such a huge disclaimer makes an eager consumer base unsure. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen such a curious legal disclaimer as part of a product announcement, and not something I would repeat. Save the fine print for somewhere else.

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Published: January 3, 2008
By: George Seybold

This article is filed under:
Apple | Business

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